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Exit Poll 2014 – For who did India vote

With the last phase of the National Elections 2014 completing today, results are just round the corner. But even before May 16 arrives with dreams and nightmares, every political brain of India is engulfed in Exit Poll projections, assumptions and calculations. Times of Assam is bringing here for its readers, its own and unique high level projections of the election results.

EXIT POLL 2014

While every news Channel and Media sources seems to be claiming about numbers boosted by Modi wave or the AAP spoiling it for some giants, our own projections based on inputs from various sources across the country seems to give a unique and slightly different proposition.

For the stars, BJP is predicted not to win by a clean majority, unlike being claimed by various media sources or by its Prime Ministerial Candidate, Narendra Modi. BJP is expected to win anywhere between 150 to 180 seats. Congress, otherwise would be doing worse than their last elections and their tally would not be more than 150. It would be a case of clear-cut hung three-tier situation, with none of the parties making it close to the halfway mark of 273. It is interesting to note that AAP is being projected to win not more than 7-15 seats in total, mostly in Delhi and Punjab regions. Amongst the big names, Modi is expected to win in Varanasi and so are Rahul Gandhi and Sonia Gandhi in their respective constituencies. AAP’s Kumar Biswas as well as Arvind Kejriwal are both expected to lose to their rivals. Even so any of them wins, then this will be the biggest miracle in Indian political history.

As such, the king makers of this elections would be the other parties, mostly those of South India and to some extent Mamata Banerjee led TMC, Naveen Patnaik led BJD, etc who have not yet shown inclination to any specific side yet. The regional parties such as DMK, AIDMK, Telegu Desham, etc are accused in the past for being opportunistic and siding with the winning party. It would be interesting to see who they side with this time, with both BJP and Congress not expected to make a bigger margin.

The other side of Election Commission:

On the other hand, Election Commission is this time being accused by to be taking sides with BJP. In fact the head of the EC himself is reported to be man of the Saffron Party. In fact the same reasoning is being given for the fact that Modi was given a clean sheet in spite of charges, whereas Arvind Kejriwal was given notice and barred from Gujarat within 48 hours of his arrival in Modi’s home state.

Disclaimer: The numbers above here are only projections and actual results of Elections may vary.

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1 Comment
  1. Jagatheesan Chandrasekharan says

    Misuse of EVM machines

    1 New voter verifiable paper trail (VVPT) machines to replace the EVMs, following doubts that it could be tampered.

    Voting Machines are “Calculators which can be manipulated by computer
    softwares”. New Machines are ordered by EC, where a paper slip will
    come out with EVM voting which will be then deposited in a box. What is
    the use? Paper Slip will show that voter has casted vote for “Party A”,
    but calculator software will add vote to “Party B”! The Computers are
    programmable. No use for such fake paper slips. In Superior Courts it
    has been demonstrated how these computers can be manipulated and how it
    can be pre-programmed to make sure victory to one candidate during
    election. The EVM machines have killed Democracy and have all the
    potentials to do so.

    Under such circumstances the following exposure by media had no
    relevance during the last Karnataka Assembly Elections 2013 where the
    Congress won and the trend will continue in the forth coming General
    Elections until the Superior Court and the upholders of Democracy
    including the free and fair media.
    A Chip can be inserted that “Party A” should get +1 more vote than “Party B” no matter what may be the actual voting.

    These are called “Overwriting Commands”. Computers are computers. They can be programmed and re-programmed.

    Ruling Party and Election Commission of India disregards truth and
    insist on use of EVM machines in Elections. They are source of
    discriminative Caste bias.

    People and Other Election Candidates have some Constitutional Rights
    which are being violated by use of EVM machines. Open Source Code is not
    being made public. People have right under Art 21 to live a life of
    Dignity. You cannot live a life of Dignity without free and fair
    elections.

    The Courts have to be further convinced that they have jurisdiction to
    pass orders which are being asked, and it is practicable and desirable
    to issue such prohibitory orders. It is DUTY of Court to uphold
    Constitution by passing such prohibitory orders. Election Commission is a
    Government body and hence if it acts arbitrarily it violates Art.14.

    If Election Commission does not ADMIT that machines are capable of
    manipulation, it acts arbitrarily and its Decision Process is vitiated.
    The Decision is Liable to be struck down on ground that the important
    components are kept out from decision making process.

    It is Duty of Court to protect Basic Structure of Constitution. If Fair
    Elections are replaced with Manipulatable Elections, the Basic Structure
    of Constitution is DESTROYED. So it is Duty of Court to ban EVM
    machines. The Superior Courts of Most democratic countries have already
    banned such use.

    The Court can strike down such arbitrary policy and decisions of EC.

    EC must first of all ADMIT that EVMs can be manipulated… Only
    thereafter it should further satisfy courts about what steps are taken
    by it to prevent manipulations.

    Apart from Rights of People, there are Rights of Other Contesting
    Candidates to be considered. Where will they appeal for a re-count? How
    can it be done on same manipulated EVM machines?

    Original method of ballot paper voting and counting in presence of
    representatives of Candidates, is still the best method as recognized by
    US, UK, Germany etc countries.

    Are our Courts powerful enough to take call and ban EVM machines which are already banned in other countries?

    We have to see. Laws of other countries not applicable to India.

    Our courts and our democracy are passing through a process.

    It is hoped supporters succeed in their efforts to liberate country from Manipulative EVM machines.

    OPEN SOURCE CODE OF EVM/VVPT MUST BE MADE PUBLIC for LEVEL PLAYING FIELD.

    The Election Commission met all recognised political parties on May 10
    to seek their consent for the new voter verifiable paper trail (VVPT)
    machines to replace the EVMs, following doubts that it could be
    tampered.

    Appearing for the Centre, Attorney General GE Vahanvati informed a Bench
    of Justices P Sathasivam and Ranjan Gogoi that the process of amendment
    was “underway”. In response to a letter written by EC on March 28,
    2013, the Legislative Department of the Law Ministry had begun the work
    of preparing amendments to the Rules, which would be placed before the
    Parliament.

    The Bench exclaimed, “We are happy that it has finally materialised. Now
    what remains is when we are to implement it.” All parties were in
    support of introducing the VVPT machines.

    274531 + 85691 = 360222 Awakened Voters with awareness voted in the
    concluded Karnataka Assembly Elections 2013 aware of the above fact.
    They will in turn educate the masses on the importance of VVPT along
    with its Open Source Code to clear doubts that it could be tampered.
    Misuse of EVM machines

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